Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 7.985573 8.835832 9.762160 10.850326 12.098694 13.492080 15.173375
2025-12-21 6.671523 7.762043 9.030150 10.627371 12.604774 14.998220 18.154137
2025-12-28 6.431360 7.773420 9.414288 11.598137 14.474649 18.201447 23.509728
2026-01-04 5.970896 7.424655 9.270429 11.833258 15.377438 20.228085 27.594644
2026-01-11 5.415002 6.880602 8.796106 11.545134 15.496804 21.151049 30.208146
2026-01-18 5.155464 6.691925 8.758620 11.824976 16.410758 23.283445 34.936155
2026-01-25 4.781678 6.310740 8.414415 11.619274 16.567606 24.270867 37.969319
2026-02-01 4.475024 5.995666 8.131222 11.464879 16.767606 25.324987 41.258882
2026-02-08 4.195826 5.697275 7.844909 11.271808 16.872739 26.216907 44.386036
2026-02-15 3.935143 5.406903 7.546667 11.028848 16.861709 26.894240 47.206937
2026-02-22 3.746733 5.209818 7.372374 10.963065 17.132074 28.086297 51.239018
2026-03-01 3.502251 4.913899 7.026672 10.588883 16.829537 28.189303 53.029383
2026-03-08 3.242252 4.587240 6.623791 10.107113 16.322908 27.907944 54.086011
2026-03-15 3.066237 4.380465 6.397579 9.906192 16.304798 28.571864 57.416341
2026-03-22 3.133680 4.554309 6.787920 10.792353 18.389905 33.735329 72.640168
2026-03-29 3.059790 4.498624 6.798077 11.006724 19.213873 36.412232 82.461210
2026-04-05 2.902291 4.299450 6.556355 10.744017 19.061150 36.928887 86.602076
2026-04-12 2.849469 4.267668 6.594495 10.999175 19.987030 40.026922 99.021803
2026-04-19 2.724192 4.109573 6.406068 10.811633 19.966011 40.899745 105.022700
2026-04-26 2.615322 3.973642 6.248421 10.670813 20.029648 41.988134 112.068511
2026-05-03 2.508026 3.835411 6.079158 10.494650 19.997465 42.833097 118.595758
2026-05-10 2.400465 3.692072 5.893446 10.272858 19.841511 43.338673 124.127845
2026-05-17 2.323839 3.598456 5.792136 10.212785 20.047224 44.835132 133.866307